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TSMC’s upbeat outlook fuels hopes for 2025 AI spending

by Investor News Today
January 16, 2025
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TSMC’s upbeat outlook fuels hopes for 2025 AI spending
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(Bloomberg) — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM, 2330.TW) projected quarterly gross sales and capital expenditure forward of analysts’ estimates, fueling hopes that spending on AI {hardware} ought to stay resilient in 2025.

Most Learn from Bloomberg

The principle chipmaker to Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) foresees spending $38 billion to $42 billion on know-how and capability this yr, or as much as 19% greater than analysts anticipated. It predicted income of $25 billion to $25.8 billion within the March quarter, as a lot as 6% above projections. Shares in TSMC suppliers together with Tokyo Electron Ltd. (TOELY, TKY.HA) and Advantest Corp. (ATEYY, 6857.T)spiked in Asia.

At shut: January 15 at 4:00:02 PM EST

TSMC’s robust efficiency buoyed optimism round an unprecedented AI spending cycle that drove the likes of Nvidia to new heights. The appearance of ChatGPT spurred a frenzied datacenter build-out over the previous two years, benefiting a bunch of corporations that present the piping and brains of the AI increase.

Nonetheless, the shortage of an enormous profit-generating AI utility thus far stoked considerations a few potential bubble. And like a lot of the trade, TSMC is grappling with uncertainties stemming from a US-China tech battle that threatens to disrupt provide chains and stem the movement of chips around the globe. The US this month introduced new export management guidelines on AI chips to curtail their provide to China.

Away from AI, TSMC stays closely reliant on shopper electronics and smartphones, given Apple stays its largest buyer. IPhone gross sales have confirmed muted, although the trade expects cellular AI options to increase over time, driving the broader market.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) Central Executive Officer C. C. Wei speaks during the investors' conference in Taipei on January 18, 2024. (Photo by Sam Yeh / AFP) (Photo by SAM YEH/AFP via Getty Images)
TSMC CEO C. C. Wei speaks through the traders’ convention in Taipei on January 18, 2024. (Sam Yeh / AFP through Getty Photographs) · SAM YEH through Getty Photographs

On Thursday, Chief Govt Officer C.C. Wei warned that smartphone unit development will stay within the low-single-digits in 2025. However he added that there could be delicate restoration in segments aside from AI.

The world’s largest chipmaker reported a better-than-expected 57% rise in web earnings.

“For the driving force, in addition to the continuing strong AI chip demand, there will likely be assist from new smartphone chips and AI PCs, probably extra outsourcing orders from Intel, and WiFi 7 chips,” Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Charles Shum mentioned concerning the 2025 income outlook.

What Bloomberg Intelligence Says

TSMC could possibly retain over half of its current orders from China, following the Biden administration’s restrictions on advanced-chip manufacturing for country-exempt chips with fewer than 30 billion transistors, as reported by Bloomberg Information. This might enable TSMC to keep up gross sales of smartphone SoCs and mid-range computing chips for China. Chinese language chip orders accounted for 12.6% of TSMC’s income in January-September.

– Charles Shum and Steven Tseng, analysts

Buyers monitor TSMC’s capex for clues not simply to chip and electronics demand, but in addition on the tempo of its worldwide enlargement. The 2025 projection given Thursday represented an increase in spending of as a lot as 40% from 2024.

Geopolitical tensions have pushed TSMC to fabricate overseas. It’s planning extra crops in Europe with a spotlight in the marketplace for synthetic intelligence chips, in keeping with a senior Taiwanese official. That’s on high of a German plant beneath development in Dresden.

On Thursday, executives affirmed that the manufacturing unit it’s constructing in Arizona — a cornerstone of Biden administration coverage — will home cutting-edge know-how in future. However they stopped wanting outlining a selected timeline. Probably the most superior semiconductors would proceed to be produced domestically, executives pressured.

For 2025, TSMC projected development within the mid-20% vary, roughly consistent with analysts’ estimates. Executives emphasised that, regardless of a unstable smartphone area, spending on AI will proceed to drive development.

—With help from Cindy Wang, Vlad Savov, Ville Heiskanen and Debby Wu.

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©2025 Bloomberg L.P.



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