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BHP warns ‘trade tensions’ pose risks to growth

by Investor News Today
February 18, 2025
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BHP has warned that “potential commerce tensions” pose a threat to world financial development after the world’s largest mining firm minimize its interim dividend to the bottom stage for eight years due to weak Chinese language demand.

The Australian firm reported an 8 per cent decline in income to $25.2bn within the six months to the top of December on account of decrease costs for commodities, together with iron ore and steelmaking coal.

The corporate’s revenue earlier than tax elevated to $8.7bn from $4bn however its underlying attributable revenue declined 23 per cent to $5.1bn — its lowest since 2020 — because of decrease income and distinctive losses associated to authorized settlements and the closure of its nickel operations. 

The miner minimize its dividend to 50 cents a share — its lowest payout since 2017 and down from 72 cents within the first half of the monetary yr. That $2.5bn return to shareholders represented a 50 per cent payout of the money generated within the half-year interval.  

Junvum Kim, a dealer with Saxo Asia Pacific, stated BHP’s underlying revenue decline and decrease dividend “highlights the vulnerabilities of relying closely on Chinese language demand”.

Mike Henry, chief government of BHP, stated robust money technology was “an actual hallmark” of BHP, including that the corporate had returned $83bn to shareholders since 2016 and greater than $100bn when together with the demerger of its oil and fuel operations which had been mixed with Woodside. 

Henry pointed to “early indicators” of a restoration in demand in China, the place weak spot within the property sector had lowered demand for commodities equivalent to iron ore. 

The “pro-growth stance” of Beijing’s stimulus insurance policies was driving “inexperienced shoots” within the Chinese language economic system, he stated, including that the nation’s property sector had been stabilising, with “momentum constructing into 2026”.

The corporate stated world demand continued to be gentle final yr because of “sluggish” industrial exercise, however that cuts in rates of interest would drive a near-term restoration in metal and copper demand. 

Nonetheless, it sounded a observe of warning over a possible upheaval in world commerce. “Potential commerce tensions current a threat to the restoration in developed economies and throughout the globe,” it stated in its outlook.

Henry stated the US solely accounts for 3 per cent of its income and that he anticipated a rebalancing of the worldwide market to replicate the imposition of tariffs by the US underneath President Donald Trump and different international locations.

“It is extremely, very unsure. No person is aware of the place issues are going to land,” he stated.

Forward of Australia’s subsequent election, due by Might, Henry argued that the nation wanted to work to draw funding into its mining sector with governments within the US and Argentina having moved to decontrol.

“This isn’t a static recreation. Different international locations are taking daring steps to be extra aggressive. There’s a possibility for Australia to lean into this,” he stated.

BHP shares opened 0.5 per cent larger on the Australian market.

Paul McTaggart, an analyst with Citi, stated the corporate’s earnings had been in step with expectations and the profitability of the respective divisions had “no surprises”. 



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