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North Sea oil and gasoline firms have agreed a sequence of mergers that may enable them to offset billions of kilos of tax liabilities towards future earnings.
In three offers up to now six months, firms with vital tax losses have merged with rivals with worthwhile belongings.
Ithaca, which had $4.5bn of tax losses on the finish of 2023, merged its belongings with Italian firm Eni in October. Equinor, which was carrying roughly $7.6bn of tax losses within the North Sea, is merging its portfolio with Shell UK, and final month, Neo, which reported a tax loss place of $3.7bn on the finish of 2022, introduced a merger with Repsol’s North Sea enterprise.
Whereas the offers have been pushed by strategic causes together with constructing bigger and extra versatile firms in a declining oil and gasoline basin, plenty of funding bankers, legal professionals and accountants cited the potential for decrease taxes as a big attraction.
“In case you are Group A and you’ve got a lot of tax losses and a few oilfields on the finish of their life and never making a lot cash and Group B has a lot of oil coming on-line, by transferring the belongings round, and topic to numerous anti-avoidance guidelines, you’ll be able to offset Group A’s losses towards Group B’s earnings,” mentioned a senior North Sea tax adviser at a giant 4 accounting agency.
“There are tried and examined mechanisms and most of the people perceive how the principles work,” they added.
The oil industry has complained repeatedly about excessive and risky taxes on North Sea manufacturing. Corporations at the moment face a headline tax fee on their earnings of 78 per cent, made up of company tax, supplementary tax and the Power Earnings Levy, a windfall tax introduced in after the sharp rise in power costs in the beginning of the Ukraine battle.
Though the worth of oil has slumped to a four-year low of underneath $60 a barrel, producers within the North Sea are nonetheless chargeable for the EPL as a result of gasoline costs stay properly above the 59p-a-therm threshold for the present tax 12 months.
“I’ve purchasers who really feel safer within the tax regime of sub-Saharan Africa than they do within the UK, which is frankly astonishing,” mentioned Nick Davis, an power companion at legislation agency Haynes Boone. “These [deals] give scale, which probably guards towards it, however I don’t assume you will get any consolation on the tax regime.”
He added that merger exercise may additionally be rising as a result of many firms really feel they’re on the backside of the market — the present authorities has banned new exploration licenses — and that the outlook for North Sea manufacturing can solely enhance.
Tax revenues from the North Sea are in decline. Final month, the UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility forecast a 22 per cent drop in tax receipts for the 2024/25 12 months, in contrast with £5bn within the 12 months earlier than, as oil costs have fallen. By 2029/30, the OBR forecasts tax revenues could have dropped to £2.3bn due to dwindling North Sea assets.
Gail Anderson, analysis director at power consultancy Wooden Mackenzie, mentioned she anticipated extra M&A exercise within the North Sea within the months forward. “There are nonetheless huge dangers within the trade and firms try to consider how they mitigate these dangers,” she mentioned. “I feel its in all probability extra seemingly than not that we’ll see extra offers earlier than the 12 months is out.”