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US rare earth champion faces trade war test after tariffs halt China sales

by Investor News Today
April 18, 2025
in Commodities
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US rare earth champion faces trade war test after tariffs halt China sales
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The US miner central to America’s efforts to construct a home uncommon earths provide chain has halted shipments of its concentrates to China after being caught within the commerce battle between the 2 nations.

Las Vegas-based MP Supplies has emerged because the US’s greatest hope for overcoming China’s stranglehold on output of uncommon earths, a gaggle of minerals very important in a swath of high-tech industries. Its New York-listed shares have risen greater than 60 per cent this yr, giving the group a $4.3bn market capitalisation.

However the firm nonetheless offered most of its output of uncommon earth focus to China, the world’s most important processing and separation centre for such supplies.

These gross sales have come to a halt, three folks conversant in the matter instructed the Monetary Occasions. One mentioned China’s retaliatory 125 per cent tariffs on US merchandise had made the gross sales uneconomical.

MP’s gross sales to its Chinese language state-backed companion Shenghe Assets, a significant uncommon earth group, accounted for about 80 per cent of its $204mn in revenues final yr, in accordance with filings. Shenghe buys MP’s focus at market costs much less import duties and different prices, filings present. 

After being requested for remark, MP Supplies put out a press release acknowledging it had ceased shipments to China.

“Promoting these crucial supplies below 125 per cent tariffs is neither commercially rational nor aligned with the nationwide curiosity,” the miner mentioned.

MP added it had invested practically $1bn to revive a full uncommon earth provide chain within the US. It mentioned it was now utilizing a refinery in California to course of half of its manufacturing output and promoting nearly all of that materials exterior China.

Shares within the firm fell greater than 4 per cent on Thursday. MP reported a internet lack of $65mn final yr and had $851mn in money and $909mn of long-term debt at yr finish.

Shenghe declined to remark.

MP is racing to separate and course of extra of its uncommon earths within the US, feeding right into a everlasting magnet manufacturing unit in Texas simply coming on-line and finally offering the group a full home worth chain for its output.

Morgan Stanley has beforehand estimated that MP’s focus gross sales to China would fall to 40 per cent of income this yr, from 70 per cent, as its processing and Texas plant come on-line.

Morgan Stanley analyst Carlos De Alba mentioned he noticed “two reverse forces at play on the inventory” with MP’s growing geopolitical significance making it a extra useful asset, offset towards the tariffs, which “will negatively affect monetary ends in the brief time period”.

MP’s chief govt James Litinsky instructed traders in February: “America of America now has a champion in MP that may present a home provide chain resolution for uncommon earth magnets.”

The group’s everlasting magnet manufacturing unit now faces one other important China problem. Up to now, MP has been capable of separate and course of mild uncommon earths however not the equally important heavy uncommon earths, notably dysprosium and terbium, wanted to make high-performance everlasting magnets and which go into F-35 fighter jets, vehicles, MRI machines and different electronics.

Beijing’s April 4 export controls have nearly solely halted outbound shipments of heavy uncommon earths as officers put in place a licensing regime, Chinese language market members say. 

Yang Jie, an export management lawyer at Chinese language agency Huiye, mentioned he anticipated it will take six months to place in place such a regime. “There isn’t a hope for uncommon earth exports,” he mentioned.

MP’s timeline for separating heavy uncommon earths is unclear. Australian mining group Lynas Uncommon Earths has a Malaysian heavy uncommon earth separation plant coming on-line mid-year and is constructing an analogous facility in Texas.

In the intervening time, China is the world’s solely supply of separated heavy uncommon earths, analysts say. 

“The US has two decisions — we’re going to have a provide chain disruption or we are able to negotiate,” mentioned Gracelin Baskaran, a crucial minerals knowledgeable on the Heart for Strategic and Worldwide Research. “It’s going to be painful.”

“China went for our deepest vulnerability. They didn’t go for the one which we’re extremely weak in, simply the one we’re fully weak in,” she mentioned.

MP mentioned it was “quickly advancing our heavy uncommon earth capabilities” and remained assured in hitting its magnet manufacturing timeline and fulfilling its business commitments.

Extra reporting by Camilla Hodgson, Cheng Leng and Nic Fildes



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