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Home Commodities

Brazilian beef is a dubious dish for US investors

by Investor News Today
June 3, 2025
in Commodities
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Brazilian beef is a dubious dish for US investors
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American meat eaters might not have heard of JBS, however likelihood is they’ve sampled its wares. Now, the Brazilian meat processor, the biggest on this planet, needs them to pattern its shares, too.

JBS provides a lot of the meat, pork and poultry that finally ends up on American plates, and the reliance is mutual. Greater than half of the $77.2bn in income it pulled in final 12 months got here from the US. That publicity is one cause the corporate has lengthy coveted a US share itemizing. Having pursued the thought on and off for near a decade, the corporate lastly received the inexperienced gentle from regulators and its shareholders to maneuver its fundamental inventory itemizing from Brazil to the US.

Bar chart of JBS annual revenue, % derived by region showing Where's the beef?

The corporate thinks the transfer will assist its inventory, which trades at a pointy low cost to US rivals, fetch the next valuation in addition to give the corporate entry to cheaper funding.

The shares won’t be palatable to everybody, although. The founding Batista household, by way of its funding autos, is the biggest shareholder in JBS with a 48 per cent stake. The deliberate challenge of supervoting shares, provided disproportionately to the Batista household, may go away it with 85 per cent of votes. 

Shareholder advisory companies ISS and Glass Lewis each really helpful holders of JBS’s present Brazilian shares to vote towards the twin itemizing — to no avail. Lengthy-standing environmental issues over the affect of cattle ranching on the Amazon rainforest and a bribery scandal that resulted within the US Securities and Alternate Fee hitting JBS and the Batista brothers with multimillion-dollar penalties may hold the shares off the menus of ESG-minded institutional traders.

Even with out these oddities, promoting meat is a troublesome enterprise. Excessive grain and cattle costs are driving up prices for meatpackers. A tricky financial system additionally means the scope to move on the upper prices to shoppers has develop into extra restricted. Whereas 2024 income at JBS was up by a fifth since 2021, profitability is 50 per cent decrease.

Regardless of the run-up in share worth within the wake of its US itemizing approval, JBS at the moment trades on simply 5 occasions EV to ebitda. Against this, Tyson Meals is on a a number of of 9 occasions, whereas Smithfield Meals and Hormel Meals are on seven and 12 occasions, respectively A US itemizing, by advantage of potential index inclusion and decrease funding prices, ought to assist slender this valuation hole.

Even then, in contrast with US rivals, JBS’s enterprise combine leans extra in direction of low-margin beef processing as an alternative of higher-margin processed meals. Acquisitions may assist. To shut the valuation hole absolutely, Brazil’s king of beef should change far more than its inventory market itemizing.

pan.yuk@ft.com



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