Key Notes
- Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market aren’t overheated but.
- Key indicator suggests a value goal of above $167,000 for the digital gold.
- The one barrier proper now could be the macro and regulatory circumstances.
Bitcoin (BTC) has skilled a number of waves of uncertainty since June 12, when the Israel-Iran battle started.
The main cryptocurrency even touched an area low of $99,700 on Monday, June 23. This triggered a market-wide selloff, pushing the worldwide crypto market cap near the $3 trillion mark.
Nonetheless, the Pi Cycle High Indicator suggests the Bitcoin value hasn’t reached its prime for this cycle but. The technical index has successfully identified the Bitcoin and crypto market tops in 2011, 2014, 2018, and 2021, in keeping with data from Coinglass.

Pi Cycle High Indicator – June 24 | Supply: Coinglass
The Pi Cycle High Indicator makes use of the 111-day transferring common (purple line) and the 350-day x2 (inexperienced line) transferring common to name for a market peak. Because the chart suggests, each time the purple line surpassed the inexperienced line, Bitcoin recorded a wave of corrections that led to market-wide selloffs.
Regardless of recording new highs, the Bitcoin value nonetheless hasn’t reached its overheated prime on this cycle thus far, in keeping with the Pi Cycle High Indicator.
At present, the 111DMA is sitting at $94,000 whereas the 350DMA x2 surpassed the $167,000 mark. If historical past repeats, Bitcoin would not less than want to interrupt the $150,000 goal earlier than calling for a market prime.
Decoupling and Macro Tensions
Bitcoin’s drop to the $100,000 zone sparked hypothesis of a shopping for alternative, whereas the Israel-Iran war heightened market worry, performing as a major barrier.
Even Arthur Hayes, the previous CEO of BitMEX, referred to as it an opportunity to buy the dip.
An nameless whale accumulated $113 million in Ethereum (ETH) because the token’s value hovered round $2,200, strengthening the discussions a few value rebound, which consequently occurred a day later.
BTC
$107 227
24h volatility:
0.1%
Market cap:
$2.13 T
Vol. 24h:
$31.51 B
gained 3% in 24 hours and is buying and selling at $105,000.
ETH
$2 442
24h volatility:
0.8%
Market cap:
$294.67 B
Vol. 24h:
$18.16 B
rose 5% and is presently hovering at $2,380.
The worry and greed index rose again from 37 (worry zone) to 47 (impartial zone) over the previous day, in keeping with data from CoinMarketCap.
The worldwide cryptocurrency market cap has returned to $3.25 trillion for the primary time since June 20.
However, Bitcoin is exhibiting clear indicators of decoupling from the broader crypto market, particularly low-cap altcoins.
CMC information reveals that the BTC market dominance rose 1.1% to 64.5% whereas ETH remained at 8.9%. Following Bitcoin’s rise, the altcoin, excluding ETH, market share declined to 26.6%.
In late June 2024, Bitcoin’s market dominance was at 53%. This reveals the digital gold has slowly been decoupling from the broader market whereas making an attempt to cement its place as a retailer of worth.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is dedicated to offering unbiased and clear reporting. This text goals to ship correct and well timed info however shouldn’t be taken as monetary or funding recommendation. Since market circumstances can change quickly, we encourage you to confirm info by yourself and seek the advice of with an expert earlier than making any choices based mostly on this content material.

Wahid has been analyzing and reporting on the newest developments within the decentralized ecosystem since 2019. He has over 4,000 articles to his identify and his work has been featured on a few of the main shops together with Yahoo Finance, Investing.com, Cointelegraph, and Benzinga. Apart from reporting, Wahid likes to attach the dots between DeFi and macro on his publication, On-chain Monk.