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Expectations of OPEC+ output increase drag oil prices lower – Forecasts – 29 September 2025

by Investor News Today
September 29, 2025
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Asian markets kick off week with positive aspects

On Monday, most Asian fairness markets ended the session in optimistic territory. The greenback weakened as investor focus shifted to the US, the place the danger of a brief authorities shutdown persists. Such a situation may delay the discharge of the September jobs report and a number of other different key knowledge factors.

Washington seeks compromise

President Donald Trump plans to fulfill with leaders of each congressional events on Monday to debate extending federal funding. In any other case, the federal government will face a partial shutdown. This coincides with the introduction of recent US tariffs on heavy vans, prescribed drugs, and numerous different items.

Seasonal help in focus

Analysts be aware that the start of the fourth quarter is historically favorable for fairness markets. Traditionally, the S&P 500 has risen in practically three out of 4 such durations. In early buying and selling, futures on the S&P 500 gained 0.2%, whereas Nasdaq futures rose by 0.3% after final week’s pullback. European indices additionally opened greater, with EUROSTOXX 50, FTSE, and DAX every including round 0.3%.

Japan and Korea transfer in several instructions

Essentially the most notable exception was Japan’s Nikkei index, which fell by 0.8%. Nevertheless, as of the top of September, it nonetheless held a 5% acquire. Traders are awaiting an inner LDP vote that can decide the subsequent prime minister and will form the nation’s financial technique.

In South Korea, the KOSPI index climbed by 1.3%, securing a month-to-month acquire of seven.6%. The broader MSCI Asia-Pacific index excluding Japan strengthened by one other 0.4%, closing the month with practically a 4% advance.

Chinese language markets rise forward of lengthy holidays

Shares of Chinese language firms within the CSI300 index rose by 0.7% on Monday. Traders turned extra energetic forward of Golden Week, which begins within the nation on Wednesday.

Australian regulator prepares for assembly

On Tuesday, the Reserve Financial institution of Australia will maintain its coverage assembly. Analysts anticipate the speed to stay unchanged at 3.65%. Notably, the regulator has already lower charges thrice this 12 months.

Foreign money market underneath strain

The greenback index fell by 0.2% to 97.952, although the US foreign money was supported by robust macroeconomic knowledge final week. The euro strengthened to 1.1726 {dollars}, remaining inside its current vary between 1.1646 and 1.1918.

The US foreign money additionally weakened in opposition to the yen: the speed dropped by 0.4% to 148.92 yen. This got here after the greenback had gained simply over 1% final week, rebounding from the September low close to 145.50.

Gold at historic peak

As for treasured metals, gold continued to strengthen and set a brand new report of $3,798 per troy ounce.

Oil loses floor

Oil costs moved decrease as crude provides resumed by way of the pipeline from Iraq’s Kurdistan to Turkey for the primary time in two and a half years.

Traders are additionally awaiting the OPEC+ assembly scheduled for Sunday. The group is anticipated to approve an output growth of not less than 137,000 barrels per day. In opposition to this backdrop, Brent fell by 0.8% to $69.73 per barrel, whereas US WTI dropped by 0.7% to $65.27.

Indian markets begin week greater

After the steepest weekly decline in nearly seven months, Indian inventory indices opened Monday in optimistic territory. The market was supported by vitality and oil & gasoline shares.

Main indices advance

By 10:02 native time, the Nifty 50 index rose by 0.43% to 24,761.5 factors. The BSE Sensex gained 0.39% to 80,745.23 factors.

Final week’s strain

Final week, the indices shed 2.7%, marking six consecutive classes of losses. The sell-off was triggered by greater US H-1B work visa charges and elevated duties on branded prescribed drugs, which damage investor sentiment and prompted capital outflows.

Vitality and oil & gasoline lead positive aspects

The vitality sector rose by 1.2%, whereas oil & gasoline added 1.5%. Positive factors have been pushed by BPCL and HPCL shares, supported by steady gas costs and expectations of upper firm valuations.

Oil India on the rise

Shares of Oil India jumped by 2.2% after reviews of a pure gasoline discovery on the Andaman Islands shelf.

Small and mid-cap shares in optimistic territory

Shares of small- and mid-cap firms additionally superior, rising by about 0.7% every.



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