Bitcoin (BTC) eyed weekend highs into Sunday’s weekly shut with the yearly candle in focus.
Key factors:
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Bitcoin sees an eerily calm weekend as evaluation eyes a three-day bullish divergence locking in.
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It could take till the brand new yr for capital to redeploy and the BTC worth scenario to vary.
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Bitcoin is down 6% for the yr, probably marking a bearish post-halving file.
New yr may carry $100,000 BTC worth
Information from TradingView confirmed BTC worth motion nearing $88,000 after two days of barely any volatility.
Friday had seen familiar fakeout moves as liquidity hunts accompanied a file $24 billion choices expiry occasion. As Cointelegraph reported, this was considered appearing as a suppressing power on worth.
Now, bullish arguments included a key relative energy index (RSI) divergence on three-day timeframes.
“Bitcoin locked in a three-day bullish divergence, proper on high of key assist,” dealer Jelle wrote in an X post on the subject.
“The earlier two bottoms fashioned with 3-day divergences as properly. Time for historical past to repeat?”
Dealer BitBull put religion in seasonality when it got here to a BTC worth rebound. Establishments, he argued, would start allocating capital to “underperforming belongings” in early January.
“This might set off a breakout from this trendline and a transfer in direction of $100K will occur,” he predicted Friday.
$BTC has most likely 5-6 days of sideways worth motion left.
As 2025 ends, that is what going to occur:
– Those that offered at a loss for tax harvesting will buyback BTC
– Traders will allocate into underperforming belongings in Jan 2026 as they at all times do.
This might set off a… pic.twitter.com/3NejU5j2do
— BitBull (@AkaBull_) December 26, 2025
Dealer and analyst Aksel Kibar was unsurprised by Bitcoin’s range-bound conduct and lack of volatility given the sharp upside throughout Q3.
“Volatility is cyclical,” he told X followers.
“Excessive volatility is now adopted by low volatility till we discover a clear chart sample setup to capitalize on.”
Bitcoin yearly candle challenges four-year cycle
With days to go till the 2025 yearly candle shut, Bitcoin nonetheless risked making bearish historical past.
Associated: Bitcoin ETFs lose $825M in five days as US becomes ‘biggest seller’ of BTC
Presently down 6.1% year-to-date, BTC/USD was on monitor for its first “pink” post-halving yr in historical past.
This led some to argue that the idea of BTC worth motion transferring in four-year cycles now not matched actuality.
Bitcoin has 4 days left to shut the yearly candle inexperienced
If it closes in pink then it might be the primary in 14 years for a third bull-market yr….signaling a structural shift and breaking the 4-year cycle thesis pic.twitter.com/JjQ8QVtC6f
— Ajay Kashyap (@EverythingAjay) December 27, 2025
Keith Alan, cofounder of buying and selling useful resource Materials Indicators, urged that the yearly candle’s colour could be of main significance.
“Wicks past key ranges are to be anticipated – it’s closes that matter most,” he wrote on Christmas Day alongside a chart from considered one of Materials Indicators’ proprietary buying and selling instruments.
“Protecting with the vacation spirit, I’m most considering whether or not or not we see a pink or inexperienced candle to shut This fall and the Yr, and I’ll be searching for new macro insights from Development Precognition on the January open.”
Alan stated that the yearly open round $93,500 may nonetheless are available in for a last-minute retest.
This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call. Whereas we attempt to offer correct and well timed data, Cointelegraph doesn’t assure the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any data on this article. This text could include forward-looking statements which might be topic to dangers and uncertainties. Cointelegraph won’t be responsible for any loss or harm arising out of your reliance on this data.
This text doesn’t include funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call. Whereas we attempt to offer correct and well timed data, Cointelegraph doesn’t assure the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any data on this article. This text could include forward-looking statements which might be topic to dangers and uncertainties. Cointelegraph won’t be responsible for any loss or harm arising out of your reliance on this data.
