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Will US Acquire Greenland In 2026? Here’s What The Prediction Market Thinks

by Investor News Today
February 10, 2026
in Business
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Will US Acquire Greenland In 2026? Here’s What The Prediction Market Thinks
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President Donald Trump has been very vocal about Greenland and the way vital it’s for the U.S. to take management over the island. He has known as the Arctic island “crucial” for national and world security.

Trump has additionally spoken about gaining sovereignty over land in Greenland that hosts U.S. bases, a suggestion that was rejected by Greenland’s government.

Whereas there was no main growth on the Greenland challenge lately, bettors on prediction markets are betting on whether or not the U.S. will purchase the autonomous territory of the Kingdom of Denmark.

Will The US Purchase Half Of Greenland?

Information from Kalshi, a federally approved betting platform, reveals that over $7.9 million has been guess on the contract “Will the US purchase a part of Greenland in 2026?”

In keeping with bettors, there’s a 20% likelihood that the U.S. acquires part of Greenland in 2026, up by 2%. The market will resolve to “Sure” if the U.S. is ready to purchase any land territory that’s a part of Greenland by Dec. 31, 2026.

Nearly all of bettors, 81%, suppose that the U.S. is not going to purchase any a part of Greenland in 2026.

Greenland Rejects Trump’s Bid

Naaja Nathanielsen, Greenland’s minister of trade, vitality, legislation enforcement and equality, mentioned that any proposal involving U.S. possession of Greenland’s territory crosses a boundary.

“Giving up sovereignty is just not on the desk for now,” Nathanielsen told USA Right now in January.

Trump, throughout his Davos speech, had mentioned that “No nation or group of countries is able to safe Greenland aside from the US.”

Greenland’s leaders rejected Trump’s suggestion, with Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen saying, “We don’t wish to be Individuals, we don’t wish to be Danes, we wish to be Greenlanders.”

Disclaimer: This content material was partially produced with the assistance of AI instruments and was reviewed and printed by Benzinga editors.

Photograph courtesy: Shutterstock/ Joshua Sukoff



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