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US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% expected

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US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% expected

by Investor News Today
February 14, 2026
in Investing
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US January CPI +2.4% y/y vs +2.5% expected
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  • Prior was +2.7%
  • m/m CPI +0.2% vs +0.3% anticipated
  • Prior m/m studying was +0.3%
  • Actual weekly earnings +0.5% vs -0.3% prior (revised to -0.5%)

Core inflation :

  • Ex meals and power +2.5% vs +2.5% y/y anticipated
  • Prior ex meals and power +2.5%
  • Core m/m +0.3% vs +0.3% exp
  • Prior core m/m +0.2%
  • Core items +1.1%
  • Core companies +2.9% y/y
  • Supercore +2.7% y/y

Unrounded numbers:

  • Core +0.281% m/m seasonally adjusted, +0.437% NSA

There was a slight dovish shift in Fed pricing following the information and we are able to see that in a softer US greenback as nicely. S&P 500 futures at the moment are flat, erasing the sooner decline.

Notably, October CPI knowledge was not collected attributable to a authorities shutdown, and November knowledge assortment started later than typical, capturing extra seasonal vacation discounting. Economists broadly cautioned that these disruptions might have artificially depressed the readings. Meat costs had been a standout concern, hovering 8.9% yearly — the sharpest improve since 2022 — with uncooked floor beef up practically 15%. Whereas the cooler-than-expected report was welcomed by markets and supported the case for continued Fed fee cuts, analysts confused that the December report would supply a clearer image of underlying inflation tendencies.

On a two-month foundation (September to November), the all gadgets index rose 0.2% seasonally adjusted, with core CPI additionally up 0.2% over that span, implying roughly 0.1% month-to-month readings for each October and November. Shelter prices, sometimes one of many stickiest inflation parts, rose simply 0.2% over the two-month interval, slowing sharply from a 3.6% annual tempo in September to three.0% in November. Meals costs elevated 2.6% yearly, down from 3.1% in September, whereas the power index jumped 4.2% year-over-year, pushed by a 6.9% surge in electrical energy prices.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Client Value Index for All City Shoppers (CPI-U) rose 2.7% on an annual foundation in November 2025, a notable deceleration from the three.0% tempo recorded in September. Core CPI, which strips out risky meals and power prices, elevated 2.6% year-over-year — its lowest studying since March 2021.



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