The AUDUSD is likely one of the bigger movers at the moment, down -0.46%, pressured by a broader risk-off tone as US equities slide. Nvidia’s earnings failed to increase yesterday’s upside momentum, and that weighed on commodity-linked and higher-beta currencies just like the Aussie.
Technically, the pair additionally failed the place it mattered most.
The Asian session excessive stalled under the highs from earlier this month — ranges that marked the 12 months’s excessive and the best since February 2023. The lack to increase above that resistance stored the bullish breakout on maintain and invited sellers again into the market.
The transfer decrease has discovered interim help close to a key cluster of shifting averages:
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100-hour MA: 0.70837
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200-hour MA: 0.70723
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100-bar MA (4H): 0.70624
The session low at 0.7068 stalled inside that cluster.
This space is now pivotal.
A sustained break under 0.70624 would improve the bearish bias and shift focus towards:
A transfer under these ranges would give sellers stronger management and open the door for a deeper correction.
On the topside, patrons have to regain traction above the 0.8000 space (current resistance zone). To this point, rebounds have didn’t maintain momentum above that stage, conserving sellers in near-term management.
Backside line:
Failure at multi-month highs + risk-off sentiment = draw back strain.
The MA cluster is the battleground. A break decrease will increase bearish momentum; holding above retains the vary intact.
