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Reality Check: Backtesting an EA on Live Trade Data – No “Painting” the Past – Statistics – 21 March 2025

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Reality Check: Backtesting an EA on Live Trade Data – No “Painting” the Past – Statistics – 21 March 2025

by Investor News Today
March 21, 2025
in Investing
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Reality Check: Backtesting an EA on Live Trade Data – No “Painting” the Past – Statistics – 21 March 2025
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Pricey fellow merchants,

Within the huge and various world of Knowledgeable Advisors (EAs), discovering a dependable one to entrust your capital to is all the time a difficult activity. Amidst numerous commercials and guarantees of “large” income, transparency turns into the “guiding star” resulting in sensible funding choices.

Have you ever ever puzzled if the “dreamy” backtest outcomes introduced by EA suppliers really mirror precise buying and selling efficiency? Can an EA “survive” and generate steady income when going through the unpredictable fluctuations of the stay market?

On this article, we are going to discover this query by conducting a particular backtest, not on distant historic information, however on precise stay market information. We’ll use an instance EA referred to right here as “Instance EA” for example how backtesting on stay information can present a extra lifelike view of an EA’s efficiency.

Backtest Interval: From Stay Commerce Begin to Current

To offer probably the most goal and lifelike view, now we have backtested Instance EA through the interval from March 2nd, 2025, to immediately, March twenty first, 2025. This timeframe is important as a result of it mirrors the precise market situations the EA encountered throughout stay buying and selling. Testing on stay information like this presents a clearer image of how an EA performs in comparison with conventional historic backtests.


Backtest Parameters

The stay account began with $100,000, so we aligned the backtest parameters accordingly:

  • Preliminary Capital: $100,000

  • Leverage: 1:100

  • Danger Stage: 3

  • EA Configuration: Each Algo 1 & 2 working concurrently

Backtest Outcomes: Uncooked Knowledge

Right here’s a abstract of the MT5 backtest outcomes we obtained:

(Desk Observe: Particular figures aren’t included right here, however an entire desk would checklist key metrics corresponding to:)

Complete revenue generated through the backtest interval.

Variety of trades executed by the EA.

Largest drop in account stability.

Moreover, we reviewed information from the stay commerce account. The revenue proven there, after accounting for fee and swap charges, barely exceeded the backtest outcomes, providing an attention-grabbing comparability.


Key Observations

Backtest outcomes, regardless of how spectacular, are solely previous references and don’t assure future efficiency. Nonetheless, backtesting on stay information, particularly over a latest interval like from March 2nd to March twenty first, 2025, supplies distinctive authenticity. In contrast to cherry-picked historic checks, this methodology displays actual market challenges—volatility, slippage, and all.

This strategy avoids “portray” the previous with idealized outcomes. As a substitute, it presents an unfiltered have a look at how an EA like Instance EA behaves in a stay atmosphere, giving merchants a extra dependable benchmark for analysis.


Why This Issues

Transparency in testing is significant for understanding an EA’s strengths and limitations. Sharing outcomes from stay information isn’t about proving superiority—it’s about offering a sensible instance of how backtesting can align with real-world efficiency. Merchants can use this methodology to evaluate any EA they’re contemplating, gaining confidence of their evaluation.

We hope this dialogue and the backtest information make clear the significance of testing EAs on stay commerce intervals. If you happen to’d wish to discover this additional, contemplate reviewing the outcomes desk (as soon as full of particular figures) or making use of comparable backtesting methods to different EAs. Be happy to share your ideas or questions within the feedback beneath.

Let’s continue to learn and sharing data to develop into higher, extra knowledgeable merchants. Right here’s to profitable buying and selling and considerate decision-making!



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