KKR’s dealmakers are not any strangers to attempting to become profitable from messy conditions.
Even so, a visit to Thames Water’s sprawling Beckton Sewage Remedy works is just not essentially the most inviting task. Initially constructed as a part of the Victorian sewage system overseen by Sir Joseph Bazalgette, Beckton is now the largest waste therapy works in Europe, serving greater than 4mn Londoners. It has required in depth upgrades to attempt to curtail human waste flowing into the river Thames throughout torrential rain.
Executives from the US personal fairness agency not too long ago took within the sights and smells of Beckton throughout a whistle-stop tour of Thames Water’s main services, as a part of the intensive due diligence KKR is endeavor to attempt to take over the near-insolvent utility and rescue it from the brink of nationalisation because it struggles beneath almost £20bn of debt.
KKR’s £4bn proposal made it Thames Water’s most popular bidder to take management of the water firm that serves 16mn individuals throughout London and the Thames Valley. The US agency, which has $638bn in belongings, is in the midst of a 10-week exclusivity interval in an equity-raising course of for the water firm, whose present shareholders basically walked away final 12 months. Thames Water is looking for to agree a deal by June.
KKR faces the problem not solely of wringing revenue out of Thames Water’s creaking infrastructure but in addition securing the blessing of regulators and warring factions of hedge funds that maintain the utility’s bonds. If this weren’t laborious sufficient, KKR should do that in an atmosphere the place Thames Water has grow to be a lightning rod for widespread public anger on the state of the nation’s waterways.
Even KKR’s due diligence efforts might stoke controversy, provided that Thames Water is overlaying a part of the invoice for the roughly 100 individuals the agency has evaluating a deal, in keeping with individuals conversant in the matter.
Whereas it’s not uncommon for corporations to cowl some prices for potential acquirers — which for KKR embrace using advisers at funding financial institution PJT Companions, legislation agency Kirkland & Ellis and administration marketing consultant Roland Berger — Thames Water’s £15mn month-to-month invoice on restructuring advisers has already provoked outcry.
Some campaigners have additionally highlighted KKR’s buccaneering previous, with the early pioneer of leveraged buyouts infamously dubbed the “Barbarians on the Gate” within the late Eighties for its raid on US conglomerate RJR Nabisco.
Charlie Maynard, a Liberal Democrat MP who spearheaded a public-interest court docket problem to Thames Water taking over extra high-interest debt, stated that permitting the utility to stay closely indebted beneath new personal fairness possession was “like watching a rerun of a horror film”.
“That is what bought Thames Water into hassle within the first place,” he added.
Thames Water responded that the bid was a “holistic and elementary recapitalisation”.
Folks near KKR have emphasised that its infrastructure division targets decrease annual returns — about 10 per cent to fifteen per cent — than its higher-octane personal fairness funds, whereas holding on to belongings for longer durations of time than conventional funds can be snug with.
This $86bn infrastructure division is of rising significance to KKR, as macroeconomic turbulence has curtailed dealmaking, making it more durable to return money to traders in its personal fairness funds.
Infrastructure is a key a part of KKR’s latest push into elevating cash from rich people, who’re lured by the prospect of proudly owning uncorrelated, cash-generative belongings. One of many agency’s Luxembourg infrastructure funds concentrating on particular person traders has recorded an annualised return of about 13.5 per cent since its June 2023 launch, latest filings present.
Not all of its latest infrastructure investments have lived as much as the plain-sailing pitch, nonetheless.
The Luxembourg fund’s second-biggest asset is FiberCop, the fixed-line telecommunications community carved out from Telecom Italia final 12 months in a marquee €22bn deal.
KKR has clashed with FiberCop’s administration over a projected €449mn earnings gap, the Monetary Occasions has beforehand reported, sparking the US agency to take larger management over the politically delicate enterprise.
FiberCop, which like Thames Water traces its roots to a state-owned enterprise, has beforehand stated the 2025 finances was according to the unique shareholders’ settlement and denied that there was rigidity amongst its house owners.
One of many architects of the FiberCop deal, KKR accomplice James Gordon, can be spearheading the Thames Water buyout.
As with a number of of his senior KKR infrastructure colleagues, Gordon spent a lot of his early profession at Australia’s Macquarie, Thames Water’s former proprietor that has confronted criticism for saddling the utility with extra debt earlier than cashing out in a 2017 sale.
None of KKR’s outstanding Macquarie alumni have been concerned within the prior Thames Water buyout, in keeping with individuals conversant in the state of affairs.
Nonetheless, the troublesome legacy of the Australian group’s possession is only one motive why any bid for the utility faces heightened scrutiny.
Ofwat, the sector regulator, was annoyed at Thames Water’s choice to grant KKR a interval of exclusivity that has frozen out different bidders, in keeping with individuals conversant in the matter. Whereas the watchdog has no say in how Thames Water manages its fairness increase and officers imagine KKR is a reputable potential proprietor, they’d have most popular continued competitors amongst bidders, the individuals added. Ofwat declined to remark.
Thames Water stated in an announcement that “there isn’t a certainty {that a} binding fairness proposal will probably be forthcoming because it stays topic to diligence, documentation and regulatory and different approvals.
“Consequently, sure senior collectors proceed to progress in parallel various transaction buildings to hunt to recapitalise the enterprise. Given this, inherent competitors stays through the course of.”
KKR’s most severe competitors was CK Infrastructure, a part of Hong Kong’s wider CK Hutchison group that has deep roots in Britain. CKI and KKR are already co-owners of Northumbrian Water, holding majority and minority stakes, respectively.
Folks near the talks observe that KKR took a extra conciliatory method in the direction of Thames Water’s influential top-ranking collectors. CKI’s bid, in distinction, was conditional on bondholders in Thames Water’s near-£20bn debt stack taking deeper haircuts.
Whereas the exact contours of the restructuring that might accompany KKR’s deliberate £4bn fairness injection are but to be hashed out, Thames Water’s senior bonds might face writedowns of 25 per cent or extra, in keeping with these near the discussions.
KKR’s preliminary bid included a part providing these bondholders the chance to spend money on Thames Water’s fairness and take as excessive as a 50 per cent stake, in keeping with an individual near the talks. This might enable US hedge funds comparable to Elliott Administration and Silver Level Capital that maintain the debt to grow to be shareholders alongside KKR.
Given the disparate holders of those bonds, which additionally embrace giant insurers and asset managers, a number of collectors anticipate to be supplied a “Chinese language menu” that permits them to tackle totally different proportions of recent debt and fairness primarily based on their danger tolerance.
KKR is planning on wiping out Thames Water’s £1bn of lower-ranking class B bondholders, though it might want to display to London’s courts that writedowns have been utilized pretty. The courts solely permitted final month a £3bn emergency mortgage from senior bondholders after a protracted authorized problem from junior collectors.
If KKR fails to appease bondholders, collectors might current their very own rival bid for the utility. Failing that, Thames Water might nonetheless face short-term nationalisation via the federal government’s particular administration regime.
Even with a deal, the laborious a part of operating a beleaguered utility that serves almost 1 / 4 of the UK inhabitants begins.
KKR executives have emphasised {that a} full turnaround might take wherever between seven to 12 years, solely after which might they probably money out via a list.
The utility has paused its problem to Ofwat over its most up-to-date dedication on the quantity by which Thames Water can increase buyer payments. Nonetheless, KKR desires to influence the regulator to minimize legacy fines, in keeping with individuals near the agency.
KKR has proved keen to tackle regulators elsewhere. In September, the agency and different traders in a Finnish electrical energy community took authorized motion towards the Nordic nation,after the Finnish Power Authority tried to curb rising energy transmission costs. The dispute is ongoing.
But the dimensions of the problem at Thames Water stays formidable even for essentially the most hard-nosed investor.
“There are many simpler offers KKR might do and nonetheless meet its [minimum expected return],” stated an adviser to a few of Thames Water’s collectors. “Equally giant and extra skilled infra funds have failed after seven years of attempting [to turn Thames around].”
