Market volatility indicator still points to $135K Bitcoin within 100 days — Analyst

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Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin value holds above $100,000, pushed by “risk-on” sentiment after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to twenty.

  • The Bitcoin Bull Rating Index surged to 80, and the Concern & Greed Index suggests rising optimism, with historic patterns indicating potential for additional value beneficial properties.

Bitcoin (BTC) value continues to consolidate larger above $100,000 after the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped to its 30-year common of 20, down from a peak of 60 earlier in 2025. This decline follows a US-China commerce deal on Might 12, which launched a 90-day tariff pause and a 115% discount on either side.

CBOE Volatility Index chart. Supply: X.com

The settlement has fueled a “risk-on” sentiment, boosting Bitcoin and equities as buyers lean into higher-risk belongings, in response to Bitcoin community economist Timothy Peterson. The analyst mentioned, 

“$VIX dropped considerably yesterday on information of a possible China commerce deal. It’s now at ‘regular’ ranges. This might be a ‘danger on’ atmosphere for the foreseeable future.”

Including to the bullish sentiment, the US Shopper Value Index (CPI) inflation price dropped to 2.3% year-over-year in April 2025, the bottom since February 2021, down from 2.4% in March and under consensus forecasts of two.4%. This softer-than-expected CPI studying indicators easing inflationary stress, probably growing the probability of Federal Reserve rate of interest cuts in 2025, assuming different financial indicators align.

With respect to the present macroeconomic dynamics—decrease volatility, cooling inflation, and a commerce warfare truce- it creates favorable market situations for Bitcoin.

Earlier this month, Peterson noted that BTC might attain $135,000 inside 100 days, citing a drop within the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) from 55 to 25, signaling a “risk-on” atmosphere. With 95% accuracy, his mannequin hyperlinks low VIX ranges to elevated investor confidence in riskier belongings like Bitcoin.

Related: Bitcoin shrugs off US CPI win as Binance CEO says BTC ‘leading pack’

Bitcoin bull rating index reaches yearly excessive

After posting considered one of its least bullish phases in two years throughout April, Bitcoin sentiment flipped drastically to its highest studying in 2025. Information from CryptoQuant indicated a dramatic rise within the Bitcoin Bull Rating Index, hovering from 20 to 80, a degree traditionally related to important value surges.

Bitcoin: bull rating index. Supply: CryptoQuant

This shift, pushed by rising spot demand outpacing provide, displays patterns noticed after the April 2024 halving, suggesting Bitcoin may very well be poised for additional beneficial properties.

Likewise, Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr noted that whereas the Bitcoin Concern & Greed Index is climbing, at present at 53.3%, it stays under the “overloaded” zone above 80%. The analyst mentioned the opportunity of a market “upswing,” expressing hope for a profitable check and surpassing Bitcoin’s all-time excessive close to $110,000.

Bitcoin’s Concern & Greed Index. Supply: X.com

Related: Bitcoin profit taking at $106K the first stop before new all-time BTC price highs

This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a choice.