Key Notes
- Bitcoin surged to $106K after Trump introduced a reported Iran-Israel ceasefire.
- Macro tailwinds, together with potential Fed price cuts and falling oil costs, are strengthening the bullish case for $ 120,000.
- Ten consecutive weeks of institutional inflows sign agency conviction.
Bitcoin surged again above $106,000 late Monday following a rollercoaster weekend of geopolitical and market drama, as reviews emerged that Iran and Israel had reached a “full and complete” ceasefire.
United States President Donald Trump, posting on Truth Social, claimed the truce would take impact inside six hours, offering a strong tailwind to danger belongings throughout the board.
The main cryptocurrency, which had plunged to as low as $98,500 barely 24 hours earlier amid fears of escalation within the Center East, jumped almost 3% following Trump’s put up. At press time, Bitcoin was buying and selling round $105,300 as bulls eye the long-touted $120,000 mark.
Markets React with “Purchase the Dip” Mentality
The ceasefire headlines triggered a swift response throughout world markets. US inventory index futures climbed 0.5%, oil costs collapsed to $65 per barrel after briefly spiking to $75 earlier within the day, and altcoins roared greater.
Ether, XRP, and Solana registered features of 8–10% whereas meme cash additionally soared previous their resistance ranges. Whereas early confusion lingered over the authenticity of the ceasefire, Reuters later confirmed {that a} senior Iranian official had acknowledged Tehran’s settlement to the proposal.
As one crypto dealer famous, “one of the best advertising for an asset is its value.” That assertion mirrors George Soros’ principle of reflexivity — the concept rising costs gasoline optimistic sentiment, which in flip feeds additional value features.
The perfect advertising for a coin is the worth going up solely pic.twitter.com/tol76axUsw
— Strong 堅固 (@SolidTradesz) June 20, 2025
Bitcoin’s efficiency by means of the latest geopolitical storm illustrates this effectively: regardless of warfare fears and momentary panic, it has largely held the six-figure line.
“Since June 10, BTC traders labeled as Loss Sellers rose 29% (from $74K to $95.6K), displaying rising strain on weak fingers. However Conviction Patrons additionally elevated, suggesting sentiment isn’t collapsing,” on-chain information agency Glassnode famous.
Since June 10, $BTC traders labeled as Loss Sellers rose 29% (from 74K to 95.6K), displaying rising strain on weak fingers. However Conviction Patrons additionally elevated, suggesting sentiment isn’t collapsing. Some are slicing losses – others are actively reducing their value foundation. pic.twitter.com/cwuN8TBAe2
— glassnode (@glassnode) June 23, 2025
Furthermore, alternate outflows are selecting up, a sign that buyers are moving coins into long-term storage slightly than trying to promote.
Liquidity Is Loosening — And That’s Bullish
Past the ceasefire, macroeconomic winds could also be shifting in Bitcoin’s favor. Two beforehand hawkish Federal Reserve governors, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, have now opened the door to price cuts as early as July.
The shift in tone suggests a rising consensus inside the Fed towards easing, regardless of Chairman Powell’s insistence on being data-dependent.
A dovish Fed sometimes fuels danger urge for food and within the post-pandemic world, crypto has usually been the primary to learn. Falling oil costs, which crashed 6.5% on Monday alone, additionally scale back inflation fears and bolster the case for decrease charges.
Institutional Flows Present No Indicators of Slowing
CoinShares reported that digital asset funds have seen ten consecutive weeks of inflows, with $1.24 billion getting into within the newest week alone — $1.114 billion of that into Bitcoin.
That brings Bitcoin’s year-to-date inflows to $12.7 billion, as traders proceed to purchase the dip as a substitute of fleeing the market. Notably, quick Bitcoin merchandise noticed solely minor outflows, signaling that bears aren’t emboldened regardless of the volatility.
Disclaimer: Coinspeaker is dedicated to offering unbiased and clear reporting. This text goals to ship correct and well timed info however shouldn’t be taken as monetary or funding recommendation. Since market situations can change quickly, we encourage you to confirm info by yourself and seek the advice of with knowledgeable earlier than making any selections primarily based on this content material.
A crypto journalist with over 5 years of expertise within the business, Parth has labored with main media retailers within the crypto and finance world, gathering expertise and experience within the house after surviving bear and bull markets through the years. Parth can also be an writer of 4 self-published books.
