Possibly the market was extra anxious about an election in Canada than we thought?
It is robust to pin down why the loonie is such a standout performer at present. It is simply the strongest G10 performer at present up 0.6%, doubling the Australian greenback’s acquire.
It isn’t an enormous transfer nevertheless it drops the US greenback to the bottom degree in opposition to the loonie since October 30. That is the day after the Federal Reserve and Financial institution of Canada each lower charges. The place they differed is that the BOC shifted strongly to the sidelines, a transfer underscored by yesterday’s CPI.
As for information move at present, it is not nice for the loonie. Danger property are down and the US greenback is greater in opposition to the euro and yen. Fed Governor Waller was very dovish late yesterday and he is an excellent wager to be Fed chair so that could be weighing on the greenback. For Canada, at present’s housing begins numbers have been poor.
A tailwind for the loonie is the acquire in gold (+0.6%) and oil (+1.1%) however these are comparatively small strikes. On web, this appears to be like like a move pushed transfer nevertheless it may be an indication of bettering danger urge for food.
The chart appears to be like comfortably within the late-Oct/early-Nov vary however nonetheless with a bias greater.
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