NZDUSD weekly technical outlook: Rally stalls at key resistance

A Robust 3-Week Restoration

The NZDUSD is up for the third week in a row after bottoming on November 21 at 0.55758. The transfer to the upside has taken the pair to a excessive this week of 0.5830, representing a big restoration during the last 16 buying and selling days:

The Technical Battle: 100-Day Shifting Common

This week’s rally briefly prolonged above the 100-day shifting common at 0.58025—the primary time value has traded above this degree since September 18. Nevertheless, the momentum hit a wall close to a cluster of key resistance ranges.

The place Sellers Stepped In:
The run to the upside stalled close to the low of a swing space between 0.5830 and 0.58442. Crucially, it additionally failed simply forward of the 50% midpoint of the transfer from the July 1 excessive to the November low, which is available in at 0.58476.

After reaching a excessive of 0.5830 yesterday, sellers leaned in opposition to resistance and pushed the value modestly decrease. Whereas the pair dipped again beneath the 100-day shifting common, the decline stalled forward of the damaged 38.2% retracement degree at 0.5783.

Present Setup & Key Ranges

Heading into the tip of the week and the brand new buying and selling session, merchants might be treating the 100-day shifting common (0.58025) and the 0.5800 pure degree because the barometer for the subsequent directional transfer.

The Bullish State of affairs (Topside Targets):

• Patrons have to push again above 0.5830 and clear the 0.58476 (50% midpoint) degree to realize confidence.

• A break above that zone would have merchants wanting towards the 200-day shifting common at 0.58677 as a serious confirming sign for a sustained bullish development.

The Bearish State of affairs (Draw back Dangers):

• If the lean shifts to the draw back and value breaks again beneath the 38.2% retracement at 0.5783, the bias weakens.

• Merchants would then goal the swing space at 0.5753, adopted by the rising 100-bar shifting common on the 4-hour chart at 0.5722.

Watch the Video Evaluation:
Within the video above, I (Greg Michalowski, writer of Attacking Foreign money Traits) break down the technical elements driving the transfer, define the place the danger is, and map out the subsequent targets that matter most for NZDUSD merchants.

Remember. Be ready.