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Canada January CPI +2.3% y/y vs +2.4% expected

by Investor News Today
February 17, 2026
in Investing
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Canada January CPI +2.3% y/y vs +2.4% expected
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  • Prior was +2.4%
  • CPM m/m 0.0% vs +0.2% anticipated
  • Prior CPI m/m -0.2%

Core measures:

  • BOC core 2.6% vs 2.8% prior
  • BOC core m/m +0.2% vs -0.4% prior
  • Core CPI % m/m +0.1% vs +0.3% prior
  • CPI median +2.5% vs 2.5% anticipated (prior was 2.6%)
  • CPI trim +2.4% vs 2.6% anticipated (prior was 2.7%)
  • CPI frequent +2.7% vs 2.8% prior
  • Gasoline costs -16.7% y/y and -13.8% m/m
  • Shelter +1.7% y/y (first time beneath 2% in 5 years)

This report on the headline is not fairly as dovish because it appears as a drop in gasoline costs was the largeest contributor to the undershoot. Excluding gasoline the general CPI rose 3.0% y/y, the identical as in December.

Except for that, the influence of the non permanent gross sales tax break (GST/HST) continues to reverberate because it leaves the index. The CPI has seen an acceleration in costs for restaurant meals, and to a lesser diploma,
costs for alcoholic drinks, toys and kids’s clothes. Meals from eating places was up 12.3% y/y

On an annual foundation in January, costs rose at a slower tempo in 9
provinces in contrast with December. 12 months-over-year worth progress
accelerated in British Columbia as a result of a base-year impact, as costs for
lodges declined on a month-to-month foundation in January 2025 following an
enhance in December 2024 coinciding with a sequence of Taylor Swift concert events.

This chart excludes the Dec 2024-Feb 2025 tax vacation and reveals a declining pattern.



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