US 10-year Treasury yields (%) every day chart
After the FOMC assembly choice yesterday, 10-year yields within the US raced to a excessive of 4.59% however that did not final lengthy. We’re now seeing yields fall again rapidly to beneath 4.51% once more. And that’s beginning to invite a take a look at of a key neckline on the chart, as seen above.
Bonds had been provided fairly strongly to start out the yr as broader markets had been fearing Trump’s insurance policies forward of his inauguration. However with tariff fears receding, we’re beginning to see issues flip round a good bit.
I would be watching the neckline close to 4.50% fairly carefully as we glance to finish the week. Even with none main headlines to affect the narrative, a technical breakdown right here might supply merchants one thing to work with within the meantime.
In flip, this may even have a say in how USD/JPY performs out with the pair nonetheless toying with a possible break under 155.00 this week.
The drop fell beneath the determine degree earlier within the week however rebounded as Trump floated tariffs once more on Tuesday right here. The bounce coincided with a rebound off the 50.0 Fib retracement degree at 153.75, so that may nonetheless be a key technical help degree to be careful for earlier than the week ends.