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Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio Spikes To New High — Fresh Volatility Ahead?

by Investor News Today
January 31, 2026
in Cryptocurrency
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Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio Spikes To New High — Fresh Volatility Ahead?
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After surging towards the $100,000 mark a number of days into the brand new 12 months, the worth of Bitcoin seems to be set to finish January in stark distinction to the way it began the month. On Thursday, January 29, the flagship cryptocurrency fell to a multi-month low of round $81,500, with the overall market sentiment worsening over the previous few weeks.

Going into the weekend, the worth of Bitcoin has considerably cooled off, recovering above the $93,000 stage on Friday, January 30. Apparently, the most recent on-chain information means that the market chief is just on the verge of one other violent worth motion.

BTC Setting Up For A Violent Liquidation Cascade

In a Quicktake publish on the CryptoQuant platform, CryptoOnchain shared insights into the present on-chain situation of the Bitcoin worth. In line with the market quant, the Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) witnessed a notable upswing on Binance, the world’s largest crypto alternate, whereas worth was present process its most up-to-date correction. 

Associated Studying

For context, the Estimated Leverage Ratio is an on-chain metric that tracks the ratio between open curiosity and the reserve of an alternate (Binance, on this case). This metric measures the common quantity of leverage utilized by the merchants in a selected market or alternate. 

The next ELR alerts a better market threat, suggesting that small worth actions might result in vital liquidations. In line with information from CryptoQuant, CryptoOnchain highlighted that the Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio lately spiked to a important stage of 0.188 when the worth fell to round $81,500, indicating that the Open Curiosity is exceptionally excessive relative to the alternate’s reserves.

Bitcoin
Supply: CryptoQuant

Moreover, CryptoOnchain shared that the divergence between rising leverage and falling costs is a basic “bearish divergence” sign within the spinoff market. “It signifies that regardless of the worth weak point, merchants are aggressively rising their leverage positions,” the on-chain professional added.

What’s extra, CryptoOnchain revealed that when the market becomes heavily over-leveraged throughout a worth correction, it implies that the merchants are both “shopping for the dip” with excessive leverage or more and more taking quick positions. The market quant stated this setup normally precedes a “violent liquidation cascade.”

General, CryptoOnchain concluded that the market is at the moment in a high-tension zone, with the mix of peak leverage and low costs suggesting {that a} “squeeze” is imminent. The analyst, nonetheless, clarified that the route of the subsequent violent motion depends upon the dominant facet (bulls or bears)  of the market. 

Bitcoin Value At A Look

As of this writing, the worth of BTC stands at round $84,200, reflecting a virtually 1% soar up to now 24 hours.

Associated Studying

Bitcoin
The worth of BTC on the each day timeframe | Supply: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured picture from iStock, chart from TradingView



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