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WTI holds near $59.50, further downside appears due to oversupply concerns

WTI trims gains after rally to one-year high as traders assess US-Iran conflict

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WTI trims gains after rally to one-year high as traders assess US-Iran conflict

by Investor News Today
March 4, 2026
in Investing
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WTI holds near $59.50, further downside appears due to oversupply concerns
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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil trims a part of its intraday good points on Wednesday as merchants assess geopolitical developments surrounding the US-Iran battle. On the time of writing, WTI trades close to $74.32 after briefly reaching a one-year excessive of $77.20 on Tuesday.

The pullback comes after a New York Occasions report prompt that Iranian operatives had signalled openness to discussing phrases to finish the battle. Nevertheless, crude costs stay elevated, up almost 10% this week, amid ongoing disruptions to Oil flows by the Strait of Hormuz.

US President Donald Trump tried to calm markets, saying the US “will start escorting tankers by the Strait of Hormuz as quickly as potential” if mandatory. In a submit on Reality Social on Tuesday, Trump added that Washington would offer political danger insurance coverage for ships touring by the Gulf to “make sure the FREE FLOW of ENERGY to the WORLD.”

In the meantime, the Vitality Info Administration (EIA) reported that US crude inventories rose by 3.475 million barrels final week, above expectations of two.2 million barrels, although the rise was far smaller than the earlier 15.989 million-barrel construct. The report had little influence on costs as markets continued to concentrate on provide disruptions within the Center East.

From a technical perspective, the every day chart reveals WTI sustaining a gentle uptrend, marked by a sequence of upper highs and better lows since bottoming at $54.88 on December 16.

The Relative Power Index (RSI) is hovering close to 77, pointing to overbought situations whereas nonetheless reflecting robust shopping for strain. In the meantime, the Transferring Common Convergence Divergence (MACD) line stays above the sign line and firmly in constructive territory, with the histogram persevering with to broaden.

On the upside, rapid resistance is seen at Tuesday’s peak close to $77.20. A break above this stage may deliver the $79.00-$80.00 resistance zone, marked by the January 15, 2025 excessive close to $79.37. A sustained transfer above this zone might open the door for an extra extension towards the $85.00 deal with.

On the draw back, preliminary help emerges within the $69.00-$70.00 zone. A break beneath this space may expose the 21-day SMA close to $65.86, adopted by the 50-day SMA round $62.30.

WTI Oil FAQs

WTI Oil is a sort of Crude Oil offered on worldwide markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, considered one of three main varieties together with Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI can be known as “gentle” and “candy” due to its comparatively low gravity and sulfur content material respectively. It’s thought-about a top quality Oil that’s simply refined. It’s sourced in america and distributed through the Cushing hub, which is taken into account “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It’s a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI value is regularly quoted within the media.

Like all belongings, provide and demand are the important thing drivers of WTI Oil value. As such, international development could be a driver of elevated demand and vice versa for weak international development. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt provide and influence costs. The selections of OPEC, a bunch of main Oil-producing nations, is one other key driver of value. The worth of the US Greenback influences the worth of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US {Dollars}, thus a weaker US Greenback could make Oil extra reasonably priced and vice versa.

The weekly Oil stock stories printed by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Vitality Info Company (EIA) influence the worth of WTI Oil. Adjustments in inventories replicate fluctuating provide and demand. If the info reveals a drop in inventories it may possibly point out elevated demand, pushing up Oil value. Greater inventories can replicate elevated provide, pushing down costs. API’s report is printed each Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their outcomes are normally comparable, falling inside 1% of one another 75% of the time. The EIA knowledge is taken into account extra dependable, since it’s a authorities company.

OPEC (Group of the Petroleum Exporting International locations) is a bunch of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively resolve manufacturing quotas for member nations at twice-yearly conferences. Their selections usually influence WTI Oil costs. When OPEC decides to decrease quotas, it may possibly tighten provide, pushing up Oil costs. When OPEC will increase manufacturing, it has the other impact. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that features ten further non-OPEC members, essentially the most notable of which is Russia.



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