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Global recession inevitable if Strait of Hormuz stays shut

by Investor News Today
April 19, 2026
in Market Updates
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Global recession inevitable if Strait of Hormuz stays shut
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Ken Griffin, chief government officer of Citadel Advisors LLC, on the Semafor World Economic system Summit throughout the Worldwide Financial Fund (IMF) and World Financial institution Spring conferences in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, April 14, 2026.

Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty Pictures

Citadel CEO Ken Griffin stated Tuesday that the worldwide economic system is headed towards a recession if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut for for much longer.

“Let’s assume [the strait is] shut down for the subsequent six to 12 months — the world’s going to finish up in a recession,” Griffin stated on stage on the Semafor World Economic system convention in Washington, D.C. “There is no option to keep away from that.”

Consequently, the world goes to see a large shift towards various gasoline sources, together with wind, photo voltaic and nuclear, he added. To make certain, the hedge fund chief thinks the implications of the struggle would have been worse if the U.S. delayed any strikes till Iran’s army capabilities had grown.

Shares have managed to rebound again to the place they have been earlier than the U.S. first attacked Iran in February, however the optimistic sentiment amongst buyers is contingent on the length of the struggle within the Center East. Many count on dangers of an escalation in tensions between the 2 international locations are in no way priced into the market.

International economies particularly in Asia stay weak to spikes in oil costs, which stay elevated at round $100 a barrel. That is off their highs throughout the battle, however stay far above the place they have been earlier than the struggle, at just under $70 a barrel.

Select CNBC as your most well-liked supply on Google and by no means miss a second from probably the most trusted title in enterprise information.



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